Wednesday, November 06, 2024
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Desiderio Consultants Ltd. is a think tank and a network of independent professional international development consultants established to promote and influence customs & trade-related policies in African nations to achieve trade facilitation reforms aimed at improving international and regional trade
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Luxury tourism: an untapped emerging market in Africa

As the global appetite for luxury tourism continues to grow, many African countries are striving to tap into this profitable market by offering tailored travel experiences that combine entertainment, relaxation, and exclusivity.

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New UNCTAD report paints a dim scenario for Africa’s development in the next years

The Trade and Development Report 2024 is out. The flagship publication of UNCTAD paints a gloomy picture of global development dynamics for the next years to come. The three major engines of the global economy (China, the United States of America and the European Union) are on a decelerating or weakened path and in the southern hemisphere economic growth is slowing down, with exposure to global shocks and the risk of trade fragmentation that are on the rise. The only region that displays a more accelerated growth path is South Asia. The report concludes by forecasting a global growth rate for 2024 and 2025 of less than 3%. What is more worrisome, the report notes, is that this generalized low growth scenario is increasingly intertwining with high interest rates, especially in developing countries. This raises an alarm bell on the sustainability of global financial system, which needs to be urgently realigned to the needs of such nations, especially the most vulnerable ones. More affordable, reliable and longer-term financing options are necessary to unlock investment able to sustain the development agenda of these countries. An appeal is launched to multilateral and regional banks to increase concessional finance through the utilization of innovative financial instruments.

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Maritime transport disruptions offer opportunities to Africa to develop port connectivity

The Greek philosopher Socrates once stated, “there is no favorable wind for the sailor who doesn’t know where to go.” Yet, this notion seems not to hold true for Africa, which is experiencing significant growth in port connectivity, largely driven by a series of unforeseen geopolitical events. The 2024 edition of the Review of Maritime Transport, an annual flagship report from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), sheds light on this development.

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Can AI help to optimize infrastructure planning in Africa?

The Africa’s public infrastructure deficit is widely recognized by economic literature and policy discourse. The 2018 African Economic Outlook published by the African Development Bank estimated the Africa’s road infrastructure needs in $130-170 billion per year, with a financing gap in the range of $68-108 billion. In August this year, the Bank revised this estimation, noting that such needs have now reached levels between $181 and $221 billion per year. But Large gaps also remain in other areas, like electricity, internet, and basic sanitation services. If on one side these deficits reveal a development path in Africa that is still long to be traveled, on the other hand also suggest that public infrastructure investments in Africa are an opportunity for high returns for economic activity and wealth generation. But at one condition: that the development of infrastructure projects is correctly planned so to become attractive for investors. Nobody invests in transport infrastructure, electricity or water supply projects whose operational efficiency, cost-effectiveness, and overall competitiveness have not been carefully evaluated. Infrastructure needs to be located where its economic effects are mostly felt, that’s the point.

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Is agriculture the right growth model for Africa?

A paper from the Morocco-based Policy Centre for the New South explores which development model Africa should adopt to enhance its economic growth and catch up with industrialized nations. The author suggests that Africa can learn from countries that have recently modernized their economies. But the question remains: which development model would be most appropriate? Should Africa follow the manufacturing-for-export model used by the East Asian Tigers (South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, and Hong Kong) and China? Or would a service-based model, like India’s – starting with global call centers and expanding to software development and back-office services such as research and development (R&D), accounting, and HR – be more suitable?

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